Showing posts with label Election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Election. Show all posts

Monday, 8 July 2024

Win for Trump, surprise on abortion: Takeaways from historic Supreme Court term

Win for Tru, surprise on abortion: Takeaways from historic Supreme Court termmp


Win for Trump, surprise on abortion: Takeaways from historic Supreme Court term, The Supreme Court ended its term last week granting broad immunity from criminal prosecution to presidents in an ideologically divided decision with major implications for this fall’s presidential contest between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.



And that wasn’t the high court’s only monumental decision this year.

The conservative justices trash canned a 40-year doctrine that gave deference to federal regulators in legal disputes, a top goal of a long-standing campaign of conservatives to shrink the “administrative state.”

Other decisions either made it generally easier to challenge federal rules or weakened the enforcement ability of specific federal agencies.

Rulings on culture war issues were less consequential. But that’s in large part because the court unexpectedly punted on two potentially major abortion cases, as well as on attempts by conservatives to fight what they saw as censorship of their views on social media.

On the always contentious issue of gun rights, the court created a slightly larger window for firearm restrictions than it appeared to have set in a landmark 2022 decision about the 2nd Amendment. But it still left confusion about how that decision applies to bans on assault-style rifles, to bans on felons owning guns and to other restrictions being challenged in the lower courts.

In keeping, however, with its overall eagerness to block the executive branch from perceived overreaching, the majority struck down a Trump-era ruling that bump stocks meet the legal definition of a machine gun so can be banned.

There were other highlights and greatest hits of the term, with Amy Coney Barrett emerging as a distinctive voice and Sonia Sotomayor's impassioned dissents. Samuel Alito, with his flag drama, and Clarence Thomas, continuing to stake out positions some deem as extreme, were critical Supreme Court personalities as well.

Here are the top takeaways for the term.

A huge win for Trump − with deeper implications for an election year, and for the presidency
The justices were largely united in March when they said Colorado couldn’t use an anti-insurrectionist provision of the Constitution to kick Donald Trump off the ballot. The court’s three liberals did accuse the conservative majority of going further than necessary to protect Trump from additional challenges to holding office, even as they agreed he must remain on Colorado’s ballot.

But the court was bitterly divided along ideological lines when it put limits on how prosecutors can try Trump for attempting to overturn his 2020 election loss.

Presidents, the majority said, have absolute immunity for core presidential responsibilities − and they have a presumption of immunity for other official acts. Prosecutors can still go after actions Trump took in his capacity as a candidate, and they can make a case for why some of his actions as president should not be immune. But the extra hurdles make it basically inevitable Trump won’t face trial before the November election.

In their dissent, the court's liberal justices said the majority gave Trump “all the immunity he asked for and more.”

But Chief Justice John Roberts said the dissenters' "tone of chilling doom" discounts the fact that the majority ruled that only Trump's official discussions with his attorney general are absolutely immune from prosecution, and directed the lower courts to apply the new immunity rule to other aspects of the charges against Trump.

Conservative majority torpedoes regulatory agencies
The majority overturned the landmark 1984 decision Chevron v. Natural Resources Defense Council, achieving a major conservative objective to dramatically shrink the regulatory power of the federal government.

Former White House counsel Don McGahn had been clear about using Trump's Supreme Court nominations to further that goal.

"There is a coherent plan here where actually the judicial selection and the deregulatory effort are really the flip side of the same coin," McGahn told a conservative gathering in 2018.

As a result of the 6-3 decision, courts will no longer have to accept agency expertise when corporations or others challenge regulations to protect the environment, consumers, workers, public safety and more.

“This decision shifts power from agencies to courts, which is troubling to some because agencies are very deliberative, made up of experts, and offer a democratic forum for policymaking," Josh Galperin, a Pace University law school professor and an expert in environmental law. “Sometimes Congress leaves ambiguity in statutes because Congress wants agencies to make policy decisions.”

The conservative majority said it’s the role of courts, not federal agencies, to interpret federal statutes if Congress hasn’t clearly enough told regulators how to do their job.

In a separate decision, the conservative majority also said regulations can be challenged long after they’ve gone into effect. And they said the Securities and Exchange Commission can’t use an in-house enforcement mechanism to protect investors against securities fraud. Instead, any penalties have to be decided through a jury trial, the court said in an opinion that could lead to similar challenges to other federal agencies.Punting on abortion access fights
The court avoided detonating an election-year bomb on abortion access by dismissing two cases without deciding the underlying issues.

The court said the anti-abortion doctors who challenged a widely used abortion drug had not shown they were sufficiently affected by the Food and Drug Administration’s loosening of restrictions on mifepristone. Anti-abortion groups are hoping another challenge being mounted by three states will have more success, or that a new administration could order changes if Republicans win the White House.

In the second case, the justices returned to the lower courts a fight over whether a federal law requires hospitals to provide emergency abortions. While the high court allowed doctors in Idaho to perform for now abortions needed to stabilize a woman’s health as the litigation continues, abortion rights advocates said doctors and their patients around the country needed clarity they didn’t get on what care can be provided in states with strict abortion bans.

Punting on social media
Despite hearing multiple cases this term that had the potential to rewrite how Americans interact online, the impact was minor. In one set of cases, the court said that public officials can sometimes be sued for blocking critics on social media if they use platforms to make official statements.

But because the court dismissed for procedural reasons a case about how far the government can go to pressure social media companies to remove or downgrade posts, the justices did not answer the underlying question. And they sent back to the lower courts for more review challenges to laws passed by Texas and Florida to limit the ability of platforms to moderate content.

Gun rules continue to evolve
After a series of rulings expanding gun rights under the 2nd Amendment in recent years, the court in June softened a 2022 decision that said gun prohibitions must be grounded in history.

Everyone except Thomas − who authored that 2022 decision − said a regulation doesn’t have to have a “historical twin” to be constitutional. That allowed the court to uphold a ban intended to keep domestic abusers from having firearms.  But it left a lot of questions about the constitutionality of many other gun restrictions under the 2022 test.

And in a gun case that didn’t involve the 2nd Amendment, the court said the federal government went too far in 2018 when declaring a bump stock met the legal definition of a machine gun so could be banned.  That case was based on whether the Bureau of Alcohol Tobacco and Firearms had correctly applied the law’s technical definition of a machine gun to a bump stock.

Conservative rift over `originalism'
Some of the cases exposed a rift among the majority about the proper way to use history under “originalism,” the dominant judicial philosophy of the conservative legal movement.

Originalists try to interpret the words of the Constitution as they would have been understood by the framers at the time of the nation’s founding.

But Barrett warned against the pitfalls of relying too narrowly on history and tradition to determine the original meaning.

That can lead to missing the forest for the trees, she wrote in a case about a trademark dispute.

The conflict was most apparent in the Second Amendment dispute about banning guns from domestic abusers.

The court’s three liberals said the majority’s 2022 decision that gun regulations must be grounded in history was creating chaos in the courts.

Justices Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh defended using “text, history and tradition” to decide cases.

“History is far less subjective than policy,” Kavanaugh wrote. “And reliance on history is more consistent with the properly neutral judicial role than an approach where judges subtly (or not so subtly) impose their own policy views on the American people.”

But Barrett said that there are “serious problems” with demanding “overly specific analogues.” Those problems include forcing 21st-century regulations to follow late-18th-century policy choices, she wrote.

Liberals: `I dissent'
There are days, Sotomayor said in May, when she’s so upset by the decision in a case that she closes her office door and cries.

“You have to shed the tears, and then you have to wipe them and get up and fight some more,” the most senior of the justices appointed by a Democratic president said during an event at the Radcliffe Institute for Advanced Study at Harvard University.

She fought back on the the majority’s ruling to throw out a ban on bump stocks with a fiery dissent delivered from the bench, a rare move used to emphasis disagreement. That decision, she said, will have deadly consequences.

When the majority said homeless people could be fined or jailed for sleeping in public, Sotomayor called that unconscionable and unconstitutional.

And when the majority granted presidents broad immunity for their official acts, it was in part what Sotomayor didn’t say that drew attention.

In their separately written dissents, both Sotomayor and Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson removed the usual word “respectfully” before ending their opinions, “I dissent.”

Ethics issues continue to swirl
Responding to a litany of controversies involving private jet travel and posh vacations accepted by Thomas and other justices that polls suggested had undermined public faith in the institution, the Supreme Court announced in November it will honor a code of conduct for the first time in its 234-year history.

But that did not quell the ethical concerns. Critics pointed out that the code has no enforcement mechanism.

They raised that complaint again after Alito rejected calls that he recuse himself from deciding cases involving Trump because of flags flown at his homes that have been adopted by Trump supporters. Alito said the the flags were flown by his wife and were not meant to support the “Stop the Steal” movement.

Roberts reiterated to congressional Democrats that recusal decisions are left to the individual justices. And he declined their request that he meet with the Senate Judiciary Committee to discuss ethics questions swirling around the court.

Friday, 5 July 2024

Keir Starmer: From indie kid to prime minister

Keir Starmer: From indie kid to prime minister, Three years ago Sir Keir Starmer seriously considered quitting as Labour leader.

It was 2021 and his party had just lost the Hartlepool by-election to Boris Johnson’s Conservatives.

It was the first time Labour had ever lost the seat. Three short years feel like a political lifetime ago now.

Sir Keir has become only the fifth person in British history to take Labour from opposition to power.

His party has gone from a historic thumping at the general election in 2019 – to victory in 2024.


The Hartlepool result though, is a reminder that Sir Keir’s journey to Downing Street was far from straightforward. In fact, for a long time his life and career were on a very different path.

Keir Starmer, one of four children, was brought up in the town of Oxted on the Kent-Surrey border.

He was raised by his toolmaker father and nurse mother, who suffered from a debilitating form of arthritis known as Still’s disease.

Sir Keir has spoken about the challenges of growing up at a time of high inflation in the 1970s.

“If you’re working class, you’re scared of debt,” he said during the election campaign.

“My mum and dad were scared of debt, so they would choose the bill that they wouldn’t pay.” The choice was the phone bill.

Sir Keir had a lot going on in his younger years.

He was obsessed with football (on the centre-left of midfield, of course). He was a talented musician and learnt violin with Norman Cook, who went on to become chart-topping DJ Fatboy Slim.

Sir Keir also had a rebellious streak. He and his friends were once caught by police illegally selling ice-cream on a French beach to raise cash.

But what about politics? There were always clues, including his name which was given to him as a tribute to the first leader of the Labour Party, Keir Hardie.

Sir Keir dabbled in left-wing politics over the course of his pre-parliamentary life.

That started at school, when he joined the Young Socialists, Labour’s youth movement.

After school, Sir Keir became the first person in his family to go to university, studying law at Leeds University and later at Oxford.

At Leeds, he was influenced by the indie music of the 1980s, from The Smiths and The Wedding Present to Orange Juice and Aztec Camera.

His biographer, Tom Baldwin, notes his favourite drink as a student was a mix of beer and cider - or Snakebite - and he had a taste for curry and chips.

For a while after graduating, Sir Keir lived above a brothel in north London.

More importantly, he was building a reputation as a workaholic that would see him go on to become a successful and prominent human rights lawyer.

At the same time, Sir Keir continued his left-wing activism, as a prominent contributor to the magazine Socialist Lawyer.

But politics was a side interest and, for much of the next 20 years, his legal career was his focus.

In 2008, he became Director of Public Prosecutions, the chief prosecutor for England and Wales.

Sir Keir likes to talk about this period in life as an example of his dedication to public service, and often recalls his role in prosecuting terrorist gangs. But what else?

Under the 2010-15 coalition government, he had to implement significant cuts, with the Crown Prosecution Service’s budget reduced by more than a quarter.

He also oversaw high-profile decisions including the prosecution of MPs over their parliamentary expenses following the 2009 scandal and prosecuting the then Lib Dem cabinet minister Chris Huhne for asking his wife to take speeding points for him.

Sir Keir's legal work was rewarded with a knighthood in 2014. But how successful was his leadership?

Towards the end of his tenure, Sir Keir admitted in a BBC interview that vulnerable victims were still being let down by the justice system.

A late career change
It wasn't until the age of 52 that the career change came.

Sir Keir was selected for a safe Labour seat in north London, winning comfortably. He and his predecessor Rishi Sunak became MPs on the same day.

But it wasn’t a happy time for the Labour Party.

The Conservatives had just won the general election and a bitter factional battle loomed after Jeremy Corbyn became leader.

Much has been said and written about Sir Keir’s journey from backbencher to the Labour leadership – and now to Downing Street. But some things are worth highlighting.

When he became leader, Jeremy Corbyn made Sir Keir shadow immigration minister but it didn’t last long.

He resigned after less than a year, one of dozens of frontbenchers who quit after the Brexit referendum in an attempt to force Mr Corbyn out.

When that failed, and Mr Corbyn saw off a leadership challenge, Sir Keir returned to the fold as shadow Brexit secretary.

Labour in the doldrums
Sir Keir’s position on Mr Corbyn has evolved over time.

In 2019, he was asked on BBC Breakfast to repeat the sentence “Jeremy Corbyn would make a great prime minister”. He did.

A few months later, he would tell the BBC he was “100%” behind Mr Corbyn and working with him to win a general election.

While others refused to serve under Mr Corbyn, Sir Keir stayed in the tent and helped persuade the leader to back a second Brexit referendum at the 2019 election.

That election was a disaster for Labour. Mr Corbyn quit and Sir Keir won the race to replace him.

But when he took over, a lot of people thought Boris Johnson was destined to govern for some time.

Many saw Sir Keir as a leader who could help rebuild – but few thought he was the man who would take them back to power.

When did that change? The polls give us a good indication.

Sir Keir’s Labour trailed Mr Johnson’s Conservatives in the polls for much of 2020 and 2021 when the Hartlepool by-election was held.

But that started to change after the first reports of Downing Street parties during the pandemic, when strict restrictions were in place around social gatherings.

There is a clear point in the polls where Labour overtakes the Conservatives in November 2021.

Its lead increased significantly after the Liz Truss mini budget and has been consistent and significant ever since.

A 'ruthless' leader
Sir Keir’s allies argue that wouldn’t have happened without big changes in the Labour Party. Sir Keir has sometimes been ruthless.

Jeremy Corbyn was thrown out of the parliamentary party and ultimately barred from standing as a Labour candidate.

Economic policy was tightened; meaning policies were junked if they weren’t seen as affordable.

Sir Keir embraced British patriotism, using the union jack as a backdrop for speeches and getting his conference to sing God Save the King.

All of that has contributed to Sir Keir’s message of change. He spent the campaign arguing he had changed Labour and could change the country too.

The election result will also mean change for the Starmer family.

Sir Keir, now 61, married his wife Victoria in 2007. Her intention is to keep working for the NHS in occupational health as he serves as prime minister.

Lady Starmer has been seen at some high-profile events like conference speeches, a rally last week – and at a Taylor Swift gig. But she is unlikely to play as prominent a role in public life as some partners have in the past.

Sir Keir though has been candid about the impact high office could have, particularly on his teenage son and daughter.

He told the BBC in 2021: “I am worried about my children. That is probably the single thing that does keep me awake – as to how we will protect them through this.”

It’s a challenge the Starmers will now face as they move into Downing Street at the end of a testing, far from straightforward, journey.

10 billion passwords have been leaked on a hacker site. Are you at risk?

10 billion passwords have been leaked on a hacker site. Are you at risk?, In the latest cybersecurity scare, a file with nearly 10 billion p...